Balance of payments. The UK balance of payments current account for Q1 (2020) is sitting £-2.1 billion This article will explain what the balance of payments is and will explain its components including the current account and the balance of trade in goods and services.
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WHAT IS THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS?
The balance of payments is the difference in value between the financial transactions in and out of a country. It I composed of 3 main accounts:
The current account is split into a few components:
- Trade in Goods – Trade in goods is also known as visible trade. The trade in goods measures the movement of raw materials (oil, minerals etc), semi-manufactured goods (car parts, phone parts etc) and finished goods (cars, phones, tablets etc).
Visible Exports are goods that are sold to foreign countries and they bring money into the country which would have a positive impact on the current account.
Visible Imports are goods that are bought into the country and they take money out of the country. This has a negative impact on the balance of payments.
The trade in goods is the visible exports minus the visible imports.
- Trade in Services – Trade in services is also known as invisible trade. It measures many services ranging from banking to travel and tourism.
Invisible exports are bought by foreigners and bring money into the country; therefore, it would have a positive impact on the balance of payments.
Invisible imports are bought by domestic consumers and take money out of the country; therefore, to would have a negative impact on the balance of payments.
- Investment (primary income) and current transfers (secondary income) – Investment income the total income from interest, profit and dividends due to capital investments abroad.
For example, if British person buys a share of a French company, then the dividends appear on the current account, not the shares.
Current transfers are the movement of funds where there are no goods or services traded. An example of this would be countries paying taxes for being part of a trading bloc (EU). Another example of this is when people send money to relatives who live abroad.
CURRENT ACOUNT BALANCE, DEFICIT AND SURPLUS
- Current account balance – The difference between the total value of imports and the total value of exports is the current account balance.
- Current account surplus – When the total value of exports is greater than the total value of imports then the current account is said to be in a surplus. Countries with high export to import value ratios are China and Germany.
- Current account deficit – When the total value of imports is greater than the total value of exports the current account is said to be in a deficit. Countries with high import to export value ratios are Greece and Portugal.
The second component of the balance of payments is the financial account. This records the flow of money for investment purposes which includes:
- Foreign Direct Investments – This is an investment into a business or asset by a person or firm in a foreign country. It can be buying a business or expanding operations into a foreign country (like TNCs).
- Hot Money – Hot money is the capital that is transferred from one country to another in order to capitalise from changes in interest and exchange rates. For example, if the base rate of interest is 0% is the USA but is 5% in Brazil then the owner of the capital would benefit more if they held cash in a Brazilian bank account rather than an American one.
This account measures the net change in the non-financial and non-produced assets. Examples of such assets are patents, copywrites and trademarks.
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS IMBALANCES AND WHAT THEY MEAN
A balance of payments deficit is not always a bad thing. This is because it can be a sign that living standards are rising because consumers can afford to import more goods. However, it starts to be a problem when a country cannot afford to hold reserves of foreign currencies.
This is because when a country has a balance of payments deficit and it doesn’t have enough reserves of foreign currency then it can lead to a depreciation of the country’s currency. This would cause imports to increase in price. This can cause unemployment in the domestic economy as import costs are rising faster other trading partners which reduces international competitiveness.
However, there is another side to the coin. If a currency depreciates it causes the cost of exports to decrease. This means domestic products become more affordable for foreign countries which will encourage those countries to buy domestic exports. This would have a positive effect on the balance of payments and could possibly cause a surplus.